US luxury home prices hit all-time high as share of high-end cash buyers tops record: report

January 29, 2024

Demand for housing is outstripping supply as inventory is tight in key markets

The typical luxury home in the United States sold for a record $1.17 million in the fourth quarter, up 8.8% from a year earlier.

Prices of non-luxury homes increased at half the pace, rising 4.6 percent year over year to a record $340,000, according to a new report from real estate brokerage Redfin.

This is according to an analysis that divided all U.S. residential properties into tiers based on Redfin’s estimates of the homes’ market values as of January 2024.

Redfin’s report defines luxury homes as those estimated to be in the top 5 percent of their respective metro area based on market value, and non-luxury homes as those estimated to be in the 35^th-65^th percentile based on market value.

The outsized increase in luxury prices, along with a jump in luxury new listings and improving sales, signal that affluent homebuyers and sellers are becoming more active, per Redfin.

Share of luxury homes bought in cash hits record high
A record-high share of all-cash luxury home purchases drove the relative strength of the high-end housing market: Nearly half (46.5 percent) of the fourth quarter’s luxury purchases were made in cash, up from 40 percent a year earlier.

Luxury prices are rising at twice the rate of non-luxury prices largely because so many affluent buyers are able to buy homes in cash, rendering the current elevated mortgage rates irrelevant.

High mortgage rates have a more chilling effect on the rest of the market, upping interest payments and keeping price increases modest.

“A lot of luxury buyers are coming in with cash, snapping up expensive homes,” said Heather Mahmood-Corley, a Redfin Premier agent in Phoenix, in the report.

“High-end homes are selling fast, especially in desirable areas like luxurious Scottsdale, or Tempe, which West Coast transplants love because it’s centrally located,” she said.

“One client recently bought a house in Tempe, flipped it, and it sold for $1.4 million in two days.”

Low inventory is another factor pushing luxury prices up.

Even though the supply of luxury homes surged from a year earlier, it is still well below pre-pandemic levels, leading to competition from well-heeled buyers over a limited number of homes, per Redfin.

New listings climb nearly 20 percent year over year to pre-pandemic levels
New listings of luxury homes jumped 19.7 percent year over year in the fourth quarter, the biggest increase in over two years.

The increase brings the number of U.S. new luxury listings to just under 53,000, comparable to fourth-quarter levels in 2018 and 2019, just before the pandemic started.

By comparison, new listings of non-luxury homes fell roughly 3 percent from a year earlier — though that is the smallest decline in a year and a half, according to Redfin.

Why luxury new listings soared

High-end sellers put their homes on the market to cash out while prices were high

The mortgage-rate lock-in effect does not hold back affluent buyers as much as middle-income buyers

New listings had a lot of room to grow, as they were sitting at their lowest level in a decade at the end of 2022

The total number of luxury homes for sale also soared, rising 13 percent year over year. Total non-luxury inventory dropped 9.7 percent.

Despite the big year-over-year jump, total luxury inventory is still below typical fourth-quarter levels.

However, the total supply of luxury homes is likely to rise more in 2024. That is because new listings have already increased significantly, and more high-end homeowners are likely to jump on the selling bandwagon because they can command record-high prices.

“More luxury listings will temper price growth as the year goes on,” said Redfin senior economist Sheharyar Bokhari in the report.

“Overall, that’s a good thing for the high-end market: sellers will still fetch fair prices, buyers will have more to choose from and sales should tick up,” he said.

Q4 luxury sales fall 1.7 percent from a year earlier — the smallest decline in more than two years
Sales of luxury homes dropped 1.7 percent year over year in the fourth quarter, the smallest decline since the middle of 2021. That is compared to an 8.1 percent decline for non-luxury homes, the smallest since the start of 2022 — but four times bigger than the decline in luxury sales.

Metro-level luxury highlights: Q4 2023
Redfin’s metro-level luxury data includes the 50 most populous U.S. metro areas. Some metros are removed from time to time, to ensure data accuracy. All changes noted below are year-over-year changes.

Prices: The median sale price of luxury homes rose most in Newark, New Jersey (11.6 percent), New Brunswick, New Jersey (10.9 percent) and Orlando (10.8 percent). It fell in just eight metros, with the biggest declines in Austin, Texas (-8.6 percent), Las Vegas (-6.1 percent) and Jacksonville, Florida (-2.3 percent).

New listings: New listings of luxury homes rose most in Phoenix (42.3 percent), Tampa, Florida (41.6 percent) and New York (31.6 percent). They fell most in Milwaukee (-16.7 percent), Baltimore, Maryland (-10.2 percent) and Chicago (-4.4 percent).

Active listings: The total number of luxury homes for sale increased most in Austin, Texas (44.5 percent), San Antonio, Texas (33.1 percent) and Tampa, Florida (30.4 percent). It fell most in Detroit, Michigan (-14.7 percent), Oakland, California (-12.6 percent) and Newark, New Jersey (-11.9 percent).

Home sales: Luxury home sales increased most in Las Vegas (33.9 percent), Tampa, Florida (24.3 percent) and Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania (21.5 percent). They fell most in New York (-21 percent), Charlotte, North Carolina (-21 percent) and Kansas City, Missouri (-20.8 percent).

10 most expensive U.S. home sales: Q4 2023

Miami, FL (Indian Creek Village): $79 million

New York, NY: $75 million

New York, NY: $65.6 million

Aspen, CO (Glenwood Springs): $60 million

New York, NY: $47 million

Aspen, CO (Glenwood Springs): $42.3 million

San Francisco, CA (Atherton): $40 million

Fort Lauderdale, FL: $40 million

Miami, FL (Miami Beach): $35.4 million

Los Angeles, CA: $34.6 million

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